MLB Picks · August 7, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners
Strong Lean🐶 Dog of the Day
Rays ML
+104
72
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Tampa Bay Rays · Away
Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
Seattle Mariners · Home
Logan Gilbert (RHP)
AI Analysis
Drew Rasmussen (2.91 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 122 K in 117.1 IP) is one of the best starters on this slate and gives Tampa Bay a real pitching edge over Gilbert (3.46 ERA, 0.99 WHIP — still solid). The Rays are 68-46 (.596) with a 7-3 L10 and riding a 3-game winning streak. Tampa Bay hits .263/.755 vs RHP — a favorable split against Gilbert. Seattle's offense has been cold (3.2 R/G L10) and their lineup has concerning spots (Raleigh .162 AVG, Rivas .133 AVG). The +104 moneyline offers excellent value for a team of Tampa's quality.
Concerns
- •Rays' own L10 scoring has dipped to 3.7 R/G
- •Gilbert is sharp (0.99 WHIP) and capable of neutralizing lineups
- •Chandler Simpson 🔥 (.412 L14) and several hot Rays provide upside
- •Seattle has some hot hitters (Young 🔥, Naylor 🔥, Arozarena solid)
- •Rasmussen edge is real but not dominant vs a good Gilbert
Factor Breakdown