MLB Picks · August 25, 2026
Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox
Lean
Rangers ML
-106
69
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Texas Rangers · Away
Jacob deGrom (RHP)
Chicago White Sox · Home
Anthony Kay (LHP)
AI Analysis
Jacob deGrom (3.77 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 157 K in 126.2 IP) is a significant pitching upgrade over Anthony Kay (3.96 ERA, 1.33 WHIP). Texas's offense is better against LHP (.253/.745 vs LHP) matching Kay's handedness. White Sox have hot hitters in Vargas and Grichuk but their lineup overall is cold in recent games (.207 AVG L5). The line is nearly pick'em (-106/-101), making Rangers solid value for the pitching edge. The concern is Texas's own muted recent offense (3.5 R/G L5) and some cold individual bats.
Concerns
- •TEX offense cold recently (3.5 R/G L5)
- •Multiple TEX hitters cold (Nimmo, Pederson, Lopez)
- •CWS has legitimate power threats (Vargas, Murakami, Montgomery)
- •Kay's ERA 3.96 respectable — not a huge gap vs deGrom on surface
- •Both teams hovering around .500
Factor Breakdown