MLB Picks · September 25, 2026
Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins
Lean
Texas Rangers ML
-114
67
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Texas Rangers · Away
Jacob deGrom (RHP)
Minnesota Twins · Home
Joe Ryan (RHP)
AI Analysis
Jacob deGrom (ERA 3.86, WHIP 1.10, 196 K in 158.2 IP) is clearly the superior arm over Joe Ryan (ERA 3.83, WHIP 1.18), with deGrom's WHIP and strikeout rate being meaningfully better. Texas has been in solid form (6-4 L10, W1) and their offense has some hot bats (Foscue 🔥, Lopez 🔥). Minnesota has been mediocre (75-84, 5-5 L10) and their lineup has multiple cold spots (Kody Clemens, Royce Lewis, Ryan Jeffers all ❄️). Texas hits slightly worse vs RHP but deGrom's elite command gives the Rangers a quality pitching edge at -114, which is neutral-value pricing.
Concerns
- •deGrom's 11-10 record suggests run support issues; Twins could get to him
- •Texas offense hits poorly vs RHP (.233/.691) and has also been inconsistent
- •Minnesota's home advantage at Target Field
Factor Breakdown