MLB Picks · September 22, 2026
Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers
Lean
Detroit Tigers ML
-157
68
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Washington Nationals · Away
Jackson Kent (LHP)
Detroit Tigers · Home
Drew Anderson (RHP)
AI Analysis
Jackson Kent is a massive liability (6.40 ERA, 1.76 WHIP in 32.1 IP) and the Tigers' Drew Anderson is a solid starter (3.62 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 109 K). Detroit's offense has been scorching recently (5.9 R/G last 10 games, .294 AVG, .857 OPS), led by hot hitters Riley Greene (.358 L14) and Spencer Torkelson (.325 L14). Washington's offense vs RHP (.240/.733) is below average, and key hitters like CJ Abrams and Nasim Nuñez are cold. At -157, the price is steep, but the matchup strongly favors Detroit.
Concerns
- •Price of -157 limits value significantly
- •Washington does have legitimate power (Wood, Abrams season numbers) despite recent cold
- •Anderson is not an elite starter — can be hit
- •Nationals L10 is 6-4 despite poor overall record
Factor Breakdown