Jacob Misiorowski is the standout factor in this game — his 1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, and 252 strikeouts in 174.2 IP represent a historically dominant season that dwarfs Nick Martinez's solid-but-unspectacular 3.10 ERA/1.09 WHIP line. Milwaukee also carries the better record (103-59 vs 98-64), a scorching L10 at 8-2 with a 5-game win streak, and a lineup featuring multiple hot hitters (Turang 🔥, Ortiz 🔥) facing a right-handed starter where they hit .264/.759 — a slight edge. The Rays counter with a good rotation piece in Martinez and value at +154, but the pitching gap is simply too wide to ignore. At -188 there's line friction, but Misiorowski's ace-level ceiling justifies a lean toward Milwaukee.

MLB Picks — October 23, 2026

Strong Leans

TB @ MIL