MLB Picks · August 14, 2026
Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Strong Lean
Red Sox ML
-119
71
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Boston Red Sox · Away
Jake Bennett (LHP)
Pittsburgh Pirates · Home
Bubba Chandler (RHP)
AI Analysis
Jake Bennett has been sharp in 2026 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.04 WHIP — a significant edge over Bubba Chandler (4.26 ERA, 1.38 WHIP). Boston's offense is red-hot over the last 10 games (6.4 R/G, .290/.829) and their team ERA of 3.48 is among the best in the league. Pittsburgh is just 3-7 in their last 10 with only 3.9 R/G in that same span, and several key hitters are cold. At -119, this is manageable value.
Concerns
- •Boston only 5-5 in last 10 despite strong offensive output
- •PIT offense hits .243/.690 vs LHP — decent split
- •Rutschman limited sample size recently (2G)
- •Contreras cold in L14
Factor Breakdown