Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros

Peter Lambert (ERA 3.11, WHIP 1.15, 117 K in 118.2 IP) is one of the better-value arms on today's slate, facing a weak Angels lineup (OPS .682, 3.1 R/G last 10, AVG .220 last 5). Grayson Rodriguez has been awful (ERA 7.17, WHIP 1.59 in 59 IP) — one of the worst SP performances on the card. Houston's lineup features Yordan Alvarez (OPS 1.040, though cold recently), Altuve (L14 .353), Cam Smith (L14 .349), and Paredes (.300 L14). While Houston's team has been cold recently (3.4 R/G last 10), the pitching mismatch is significant enough to support a lean at -177, though the price tempers the value.