Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

Yamamoto is arguably the best pitcher on this entire slate — 2.78 ERA, an elite 0.88 WHIP, and 113 K in 119.2 IP with a 10-6 record. He faces a Mets lineup that is struggling badly (2.7 R/G L10, 3-7 in L10, L2 streak) with multiple cold key hitters in Soto, Semien, and others. The Dodgers are the best team in baseball at 66-38 with an elite offense (.774 OPS, 5.18 R/G). McLean is a quality arm (3.34 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 135 K), but the gap between Yamamoto and McLean, combined with LA's offensive superiority, supports the Dodgers despite -156 pricing.