Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee is the best team on this slate (88-54, .620) and is 7-3 in L10 scoring 6.3 R/G. Abbott has a 4.49 ERA and 1.44 WHIP — a hittable pitcher — and the Reds lineup hits only .693 OPS vs RHP. The concern is Dustin May's ERA (4.69, 1.32 WHIP), which prevents this from being a strong lean per the pitching gate. However, the Brewers' offensive firepower and multiple hot bats (Contreras, Mitchell, Yelich, Hamilton) plus the Reds' 4.53 team ERA support Milwaukee. The -157 is slightly negative but team quality difference is real.