MLB Picks · July 9, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Strong Lean
Brewers ML
-136
72
/ 100
Starting Pitchers
Milwaukee Brewers · Away
Logan Henderson (RHP)
St. Louis Cardinals · Home
Andre Pallante (RHP)
AI Analysis
Milwaukee is the class of this slate at 58-34 (.630) and sends Logan Henderson (ERA 2.74 in limited work, 30 K in 23 IP) to face a Cardinals lineup hitting .243/.716 vs RHP — modest. Andre Pallante (ERA 3.60, WHIP 1.22) is solid but Milwaukee's offense (.734 OPS, 5.09 R/G, multiple hot hitters) and superior pitching depth should dominate. Henderson's small sample is a concern, but the overall team quality gap is significant. At -136 the price is acceptable given Milwaukee's standing.
Concerns
- •Henderson only 23 IP — very small sample for ERA reliability
- •STL has W1 streak and Jordan Walker is hot (🔥 .340 L14)
- •MIL has several cold hitters (Contreras, Chourio, Yelich ❄️)
- •Pallante ERA 3.60 gives STL a respectable pitching arm
Factor Breakdown