Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

This is the clearest edge on the slate. Misiorowski is having one of the best seasons in baseball (ERA 1.50, WHIP 0.81, 116 K in 78 IP) while Painter is a disaster (ERA 6.21, WHIP 1.57, 1-7). Milwaukee's offense is on a scorching stretch (8.4 R/G over the last 10 games, .313/.931 as a team) and hits RHP well (.261/.754). The Brewers are also a better team overall (41-25, ERA 3.47). The only hesitation is the -251 price, but the performance gap across pitching and recent offensive form is overwhelming.