San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals

Pallante (3.45 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 12-6) is a solid innings-eater with a strong win record, while Tidwell (4.82 ERA in just 46.2 IP, 0-2) is a largely unknown commodity with concerning numbers. San Francisco is 62-89 on a 4-game losing streak and scoring only 3.61 R/G. STL's offense has been better in the last 10 (5.2 R/G), and several Cardinals hitters are heating up. The pitching gate is marginally met here (Pallante's ERA and experience vs Tidwell's tiny sample), and -168 is in the slight negative value zone, so this is a lean rather than a strong play.