MLB Picks · May 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
Strong Lean
Tampa Bay Rays ML
+120
72
/ 100
Edge Score
Starting Pitchers
Tampa Bay Rays · Away
Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
New York Yankees · Home
Ryan Weathers (LHP)
AI Analysis
Tampa Bay is the class of the AL this year at 34-15, W5 streak, 8-2 L10, and a blistering 7 R/G in last 5 games (.857 OPS). Rasmussen has been solid (3.19 ERA, 1.00 WHIP). The Yankees are 4-6 L10, L3 streak, and their top bats are all cold: Judge (.176 L14), Bellinger (.204 L14), Rice (.186 L14). New York hits only .230/.736 vs RHP. Weathers (3.58 ERA) is decent but Tampa's firepower — Caminero (.861 OPS), Aranda (.814 OPS), Díaz (.888 OPS) — is formidable even against a solid lefty. The Rays are simply the better team right now by a wide margin. 66% precip is a concern for all hitters.
Concerns
- •High rain probability (66%) — potential game-time delays
- •Weathers has been competent (3.58 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 61 Ks)
- •Yankees at home with Judge/Rice power threat
- •Rasmussen has limited IP advantage over Weathers
- •TB hits .261/.699 vs LHP — slightly below their vs-RHP splits
Factor Breakdown