MLB Picks · May 24, 2026
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves
Strong Lean
Atlanta Braves ML
-154
74
/ 100
Edge Score
Starting Pitchers
Washington Nationals · Away
Foster Griffin (LHP)
Atlanta Braves · Home
Martín Pérez (LHP)
AI Analysis
Atlanta is the best team in baseball at 36-17 (.679) with a 3.06 team ERA and 5.3 R/G. Martín Pérez has been outstanding (2.85 ERA, 1.00 WHIP) and Atlanta hits .259/.745 vs LHP — solid numbers against Griffin. The Braves' L5 is elite (6.2 R/G, 31 runs). Washington is 5.68 RA/G and their pitching staff (4.87 ERA) is stretched. Griffin is competent (4.02 ERA) but Washington's lineup defense — especially against Atlanta's deep offense — is suspect. While WSH has real bats (Wood .913 OPS, Abrams .929 OPS), Atlanta at home with a quality starter is a strong play.
Concerns
- •Washington has genuine offensive firepower (Wood, Abrams, Lile all hot)
- •Foster Griffin has been respectable (4.02 ERA, 5-2 record)
- •WSH hits .265/.777 vs LHP — strong split matchup advantage for them
- •Atlanta stars Olson, Albies, Harris II all cold in L14
- •22% precip — minor weather risk
Factor Breakdown