WNBA Picks — July 7, 2026
Leans
Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky
LeanChicago holds a 3-point offensive rating advantage (104 vs 101), suggesting they generate more value per possession, and their 2-0 recent record contrasts with Phoenix's 0-1 mark in the last 7 games. However, Phoenix's defense is meaningfully stronger, allowing only 89 opponent PPG versus Chicago's 95, which is a significant concern when projecting this game's final margin.
Passes
New York Liberty vs Dallas Wings
PassThe data reveals a nearly identical matchup across every meaningful statistical category. Both teams share a 106 offensive rating, identical pace of 78 possessions per game, equal rim FG% on offense and defense, equal rest, and both are 1 game into their seasons with no scoring differential. The only measurable edge for New York is home court advantage versus Dallas traveling 1,372 miles, which provides a marginal but insufficient edge to justify wagering at -198.