WNBA Picks — July 16, 2026
Leans
Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty
LeanDallas holds a modest 2-point offensive rating advantage (108 vs 106) and benefits from playing at home with zero travel miles compared to New York's 1,372-mile road trip. The rest advantage is equal at 2 days each, but the travel burden on New York is the clearest structural edge in this otherwise very tight matchup. Rim FG% and pace are virtually identical, so the home-court plus travel factor tips the lean toward Dallas.
Passes
Washington Mystics vs Portland Fire
PassWashington's defensive efficiency is a meaningful edge, holding opponents to 86 PPG versus Portland's 102 PPG allowed, suggesting a significant defensive advantage. However, Portland holds a 4-point offensive rating edge (102 vs 98), partially offsetting Washington's defensive strength. The data is too limited and contradictory across factors to establish confident conviction in either direction.